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Click REFRESH to read the latest and greatest updates!
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Pick performance is now available. And as usual it is very interesting.
I was so motivated by the pick performance page, I'm adding a top ten list of
the games that will decide this pool. The list below 1) excludes opening
round game, 2) is a formula percentage of non favorite picks multiplied by the
number of teams picked for that game.
For example, 12 people picket Gonzaga to win the championship. That means
28, or 70% did not. There are 11 different teams picked to win the
championship. So 11 x .7 = 3.30. That is the PIF (pool influence
factor... just made that up. Kinda like it).
David Letterman was not available to do this years list, so you'll have to
settle for a less entertaining David L.
#10 - South Sweet Sixteen: Tennessee is the
favorite
Tennessee is the favorite to win this Sweet Sixteen matchup. Eighteen
people picked them to win. Less than half the pool. Villanova comes
in with 16 picks. The other six picks are split between Ohio State,
Michigan and Colorado State.
#9 - Midwest Round 2: Iowa is the favorite
Well that is problematic to say the least. Iowa was eliminated in the
first round. They were on 23 sheets, a little more than half. Ten of
the other picks went to Providence. Those folks, or the four who took
Richmond look primed to make a big jump forward.
#8 - Midwest Sweet 16: Auburn is the favorite
Auburn is picked on 19 sheets to advance out of the sweet sixteen in the
Midwest. That is well balanced with sixteen sheets for Wisconsin.
Look for this game to split the pool nearly in half. Other picks go to LSU
and USC (those aren't gonna pay out) and Miami, FL.
#7 - South Elite 8: Arizona is the favorite
Like the pick above, Arizona is on 19 sheets. Tennessee and Villanova each
have nine picks each. This is for a trip to the final four, so point
values start to escalate at this point. Houston and Illinois split account
for the remaining three picks, two and one.
#6 - Semi Final: Arizona is the favorite
It is not surprising that a semi final game is on this list. Hint, all the
final four games are in this list. But to see one outside the top five is
intriguing. As I write this, I have not prescanned the list for what's to
come, so I'm also curious.
For this game, Arizona is on 13 sheets, well less than half. Eight
different teams are picked in this spot. So this game will have a lot of
losers (could have figured that out by looking at the entry list) But someone(s)
will take a big leap forward with this game.
#5 - West Sweet 16: Duke is the favorite
So far we've spent a lot of time on the right side of the bracket. But now
that we get to the top five, we venture left. Duke is picked on 21 sheets
to win this game. But the other 19 picks are spread across four other
teams, led by Texas Tech with 13.
#4 - Semi Final: Gonzaga is the favorite
Given Gonzaga is the overall favorite, I was surprised this was ahead of the
other semi final game. If Gonzaga wins this game, the impact is minimized
by the fact eight of the other picks went to the already eliminated Kentucky.
That only leave 13 other picks, valuable picks if they win, split among Duke,
Baylor, Purdue and North Carolina.
#3 - Midwest Elite 8: Kansas is the favoite
The second of three elite eight games on the list (oops, I just tipped my hand),
Kansas is on 18 sheets. Less than half. Auburn is on eleven sheets.
And Wisconsin on six. Assuming Kansas is playing one of those two teams in
the Midwest regional final, it will have a huge impact on who goes into the
final four with the lead.
#2 - Championship Game: Gonzaga is the favorite
This is kind of a no brainer, and probably would have been number one if Gonzaga
wasn't on such a high percentage (For the championship game) of the sheets.
Gonzaga is on twelve sheets. Arizona is on seven. And Duke had five,
Kansas four. After that, it is a pretty flat spread across Auburn,
Baylor, Kentu... screw it, North Carolina, Tennessee, Villanova and Wisconsin.
I still content to win this pool you must pick the champion.
#1 - East Elite 8: Kentucky WAS the favorite
So this is a total mess now. Kentucky was on 19 sheets. Obviously
those are all wrong. And assuming the winner of this region comes from the
other selected teams, this is going to be a huge haul of points for someone.
Baylor has nine selections. Purdue has seven (somebody put Boilermaker
Kook-Aid in the COVID booster), The other picks are split between St. Marys,
Murray State, North Carolina and UCLA.
PICKS BY ROUND, BY TEAM
|
Region |
Seed |
Team |
Rd1 |
Rd2 |
S16 |
E8 |
SF |
CG |
Total Picks |
Points Seleted |
Points
Earned |
Performance
Index |
| South |
9 |
TCU |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
23 |
230 |
230 |
1000.0 |
| Midwest |
11 |
Iowa State |
12 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
15 |
183 |
183 |
1000.0 |
| West |
4 |
Arkansas |
34 |
20 |
5 |
1 |
|
|
60 |
349 |
335 |
945.9 |
| Midwest |
9 |
Creighton |
21 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
22 |
221 |
210 |
939.2 |
| Midwest |
10 |
Miami FL |
18 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
24 |
281 |
261 |
908.8 |
| Midwest |
4 |
Providence |
30 |
10 |
2 |
|
|
|
42 |
228 |
210 |
903.1 |
| South |
11 |
Michigan |
23 |
7 |
2 |
|
|
|
32 |
399 |
367 |
887.8 |
| East |
8 |
North Carolina |
26 |
7 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
40 |
407 |
356 |
823.7 |
| South |
5 |
Houston |
33 |
20 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
|
62 |
458 |
388 |
777.2 |
| South |
2 |
Villanova |
40 |
34 |
16 |
9 |
4 |
3 |
106 |
556 |
476 |
776.1 |
| West |
11 |
Rutgers/Notre Dame |
14 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
17 |
207 |
168 |
772.6 |
| West |
9 |
Memphis |
30 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
35 |
361 |
300 |
770.0 |
| West |
12 |
New Mexico State |
10 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
13 |
172 |
130 |
713.8 |
| East |
7 |
Murray State |
32 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
|
|
39 |
333 |
256 |
691.8 |
| West |
2 |
Duke |
40 |
31 |
21 |
11 |
6 |
5 |
114 |
645 |
523 |
688.9 |
| East |
6 |
Texas |
28 |
7 |
1 |
|
|
|
36 |
263 |
196 |
678.2 |
| East |
4 |
UCLA |
37 |
28 |
11 |
1 |
|
|
77 |
466 |
353 |
644.5 |
| South |
7 |
Ohio State |
25 |
6 |
3 |
|
|
|
34 |
290 |
200 |
599.7 |
| Midwest |
12 |
Richmond |
7 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
11 |
147 |
91 |
563.0 |
| West |
3 |
Texas Tech |
38 |
27 |
13 |
2 |
|
|
80 |
417 |
287 |
558.2 |
| West |
7 |
Michigan State |
32 |
8 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
45 |
393 |
256 |
514.4 |
| East |
5 |
Saint Marys |
29 |
9 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
44 |
307 |
174 |
433.8 |
| East |
3 |
Purdue |
37 |
29 |
11 |
7 |
1 |
|
85 |
490 |
293 |
401.0 |
| South |
4 |
Illinois |
34 |
16 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
55 |
316 |
170 |
392.0 |
| Midwest |
3 |
Wisconsin |
38 |
32 |
16 |
6 |
3 |
1 |
96 |
577 |
312 |
275.7 |
| Midwest |
1 |
Kansas |
40 |
39 |
32 |
18 |
10 |
4 |
143 |
759 |
389 |
142.5 |
| West |
15 |
CS Fullerton |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
| West |
16 |
Georgia State |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
| East |
15 |
St. Peters |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
| East |
16 |
Norfolk State |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
| South |
14 |
Longwood |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
| South |
15 |
Delaware |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
| South |
16 |
Wright State/Bryant |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
| Midwest |
16 |
Texas So/TX AM CC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
| Midwest |
14 |
Colgate |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
30 |
0 |
-30.0 |
| East |
13 |
Akron |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
42 |
0 |
-42.0 |
| East |
14 |
Yale |
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
45 |
0 |
-45.0 |
| West |
14 |
Montana State |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
3 |
46 |
0 |
-46.0 |
| Midwest |
15 |
Jacksonville State |
2 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
3 |
49 |
0 |
-49.0 |
| South |
13 |
Chattanooga |
6 |
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
84 |
0 |
-84.0 |
| East |
10 |
San Fransisco |
8 |
|
|
|
|
|
8 |
88 |
0 |
-88.0 |
| West |
8 |
Boise State |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
10 |
90 |
0 |
-90.0 |
| West |
13 |
Vermont |
6 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
8 |
114 |
0 |
-114.0 |
| West |
10 |
Davidson |
8 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
|
10 |
115 |
0 |
-115.0 |
| South |
12 |
UAB |
7 |
4 |
|
|
|
|
11 |
147 |
0 |
-147.0 |
| East |
9 |
Marquette |
14 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
15 |
151 |
0 |
-151.0 |
| South |
6 |
Colorado State |
17 |
4 |
1 |
|
|
|
22 |
162 |
0 |
-162.0 |
| South |
8 |
Seton Hall |
17 |
1 |
|
|
|
|
18 |
163 |
0 |
-163.0 |
| South |
10 |
Loyola Chicago |
15 |
|
|
|
|
|
15 |
165 |
0 |
-165.0 |
| Midwest |
8 |
San Diego State |
19 |
|
|
|
|
|
19 |
171 |
0 |
-171.0 |
| East |
12 |
Wyoming/Indiana |
11 |
3 |
|
|
|
|
14 |
185 |
0 |
-185.0 |
| South |
3 |
Tennessee |
40 |
29 |
18 |
9 |
3 |
2 |
101 |
630 |
160 |
-216.0 |
| East |
11 |
Virginia Tech |
12 |
4 |
2 |
|
|
|
18 |
228 |
0 |
-228.0 |
| East |
1 |
Baylor |
40 |
32 |
21 |
9 |
5 |
2 |
109 |
487 |
80 |
-242.7 |
| Midwest |
13 |
South Dakota State |
10 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
16 |
254 |
0 |
-254.0 |
| Midwest |
6 |
LSU |
28 |
5 |
2 |
|
|
|
35 |
258 |
0 |
-258.0 |
| Midwest |
2 |
Auburn |
38 |
30 |
19 |
11 |
4 |
2 |
104 |
575 |
114 |
-262.7 |
| West |
6 |
Alabama |
26 |
9 |
1 |
|
|
|
36 |
265 |
0 |
-265.0 |
| Midwest |
7 |
USC |
22 |
5 |
2 |
2 |
|
|
31 |
279 |
0 |
-279.0 |
| West |
5 |
Connecticut |
30 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
45 |
285 |
0 |
-285.0 |
| South |
1 |
Arizona |
40 |
39 |
31 |
19 |
13 |
7 |
149 |
821 |
197 |
-384.0 |
| Midwest |
5 |
Iowa |
33 |
23 |
5 |
1 |
|
|
62 |
424 |
0 |
-424.0 |
| West |
1 |
Gonzaga |
40 |
37 |
33 |
25 |
19 |
12 |
166 |
1004 |
191 |
-622.8 |
| East |
2 |
Kentucky |
40 |
36 |
24 |
19 |
8 |
1 |
128 |
800 |
0 |
-800.0 |
|
 ONE
SHINING PICK
First, please
forgive my inexcusable
immaturity regarding the image.
There was a time when I was
younger, I believed my body
would stop growing (taller) and
my mind would continually
expand. I now understand while
my body continues to grow
(wider), it is my mind that is
perpetually stuck at 14 years
old.
One Shining Pick are the picks
in the pool that only the
bravest had the courage to
take. Get one
of these rights, and you will
pick up points on most other
sheets in the pool. But the
odds are against you and the
reality for most of these picks
is they will lose their luster
soon after the ball is tipped.
I don't really have anything to
say about the One Shining Picks
this year. I
actually think they are very
good, with a few notable
exceptions. I think a
couple of these may actually pay
off, and really influence the
outcome of the pool.
I hate to risk jinxing anyone,
but I really like the variety of
picks in the Elite Eight round.
I can't wait to see how this
plays out.
|
Round 1
none (or nun, in honor of the
nun at Loyola Chicago), nada,
zip!
Round 2
Creighton (David Stubenrauch)
Davidson (Michael Cutcher 2)
Jacksonville State (Susan Weldishofer)
Marquette (Dewey Gripshover)
Montana State (Susan Weldishofer)
Seton Hall (Jonathan Kim 2)
Sweet 16
Alabama
(Jennifer Harrell)
Colorado State (Jennifer
Harrell)
Davidson (Jonathan Kim
3)
 Miami, FL
(Katie Schwegman)
South Dakota State
(Susan Weldishofer)
Texas (John Neltner)
Elite Eight
Arkansas
(David Woolums)
Illinois (David
Lamb 2)
Iowa (Jonathan Kim 2)
Miami, FL
(Katie Schwegman)
Michigan State
(Rob Collins)
Murray State
(Jennifer Harrell)
North Carolina
(Susan Weldishofer)
South Dakota State
(Susan Weldishofer)
UCLA
(SJ Anneken)
Semi Finals
North Carolina (Susan
Weldishofer)
Purude (Jonathan Kim 3)
South Dakota State
(Susan Weldishofer)
Finals
Kentucky (David Lamb)
North Carolina
(Susan Weldishofer)
Wisconsin (Brad Perry)
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